长江口咸潮入侵变化特征及成因分析     

李文善  王慧  左常圣  董军兴  徐浩  潘嵩  金波文  高通 《海洋学报》2020,42(7):32-40

本文基于海洋站潮位观测数据、海平面变化影响调查信息以及长江口水文站径流量数据等，重点分析了2009?2018年长江口咸潮入侵的变化特征及其影响因素，分析结果表明:(1)长江口咸潮入侵季节变化特征明显。咸潮一般从每年的9?10月开始入侵，翌年4?5月结束。3月咸潮入侵次数最多，达12次。2009?2018年，长江口咸潮入侵次数和咸潮持续时间均呈下降趋势，2009年长江口咸潮入侵次数最多，达13次，时间均发生在10月至翌年的4月；咸潮持续时间年际变化较大，2011年咸潮入侵持续时间最长，累计为55 d。2015?2018年，咸潮入侵次数和入侵持续时间均明显减少，2018年没有监测到咸潮入侵过程。(2) 1?4月，长江口处于季节性低海平面期，且同期径流量少，但是受东亚季风影响，持续的增水过程使得增减水?径流量综合影响指数明显偏高，其中1月、2月、3月的影响指数分别为1.5、1.9和1.6，该时段长江口的咸潮入侵过程主要受增减水的影响。5?7月，长江口径流量明显增加，海平面?径流量综合影响指数均小于0，径流的作用强于海水上溯。8月，长江口径流量开始下降，虽然季节海平面较高，但是长江口呈现明显的减水过程，海平面?径流量和增减水?径流量的综合影响指数分别为0.1和?1.6，基本不会发生咸潮入侵。9月，长江口处于季节高海平面期，并且以增水为主，海平面?径流量和增减水?径流量的综合影响指数较大，分别为1.2和1.0，易发生咸潮入侵。10月、11月长江口海平面?径流量的综合影响指数分别为1.5和0.8，径流影响弱于海水上溯，易发生咸潮入侵。(3) 2009?2018年发生的48次咸潮入侵过程有2/3恰逢天文大潮。在某些年份长江口沿海基础海平面偏高，若持续增水恰逢天文大潮，则加剧咸潮入侵的影响程度。  相似文献   

Global Statistical Assessment and Cross-Calibration with Jason-2 for Reprocessed HY-2 A Altimeter Data     

Maofei Jiang  Ke Xu  Yalong Liu 《Marine Geodesy》2018,41(3):289-312

HY-2 A (Haiyang-2 A) satellite was launched on August 16, 2011 and radar altimeter is one of its main payloads. We reprocessed two years of HY-2 A altimeter sensor geophysical dataset records (SGDR) data. This paper presents the main results in terms of reprocessed HY-2 A altimeter data quality: verification of data availability and validity, monitoring several relevant altimeter parameters, and assessment of the HY-2 A altimeter system performances. A cross-calibration analysis of reprocessed HY-2 A altimeter data with Jason-2 was conducted. The reprocessed HY-2 A altimeter data show good quality and have a low level of noise with respect to Jason-2. The same geophysical correction methods were used to calculate the sea surface height (SSH) for the two missions. The mean standard deviations of the crossover differences for HY-2 A and Jason-2 are 5.24 cm and 5.34 cm, respectively. The mean standard deviation of the crossover differences between HY-2 A and Jason-2 is 5.37 cm. These show that HY-2 A can provide SSH measurements at almost the same level of accuracy as Jason-2. The relative SSH bias between HY-2 A and Jason-2 due to the Ultra Stable Oscillator (USO) drift is obviously observed, and it can affect the calculation of mean sea level and should be further studied and corrected.  相似文献   

Prediction of the South China Sea Dipole Using SSA-MEM     

Qiong Xia  Enbo Wei 《大气与海洋》2018,56(4):240-253

ABSTRACT

A dipole structure appears in the sea surface height off the central coast of Vietnam during boreal summer in the South China Sea. This dipole, which possesses a chlorophyll signature associated with higher phytoplankton concentrations arising from nutrient upwelling, is important for the productivity of local fisheries. Multi-satellite sea level anomalies are used to investigate the life cycle of the dipole structure. By applying empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis, the third EOF mode (EOF 3) is found to represent the major variations of the dipole structure. By removing the temporal noise of EOF 3, a South China Sea dipole index is defined. This index captures the life cycle of the dipole including its generation, mature strength, and final termination. Both one-dimensional and two-dimensional forecasts are generated using a statistical forecasting method that combines singular-spectrum analysis and the maximum entropy method. The appearance of the dipole structure can be predicted with an accuracy of 78% at one-month lead times and an accuracy of 61% at one-year lead times.  相似文献   

Quality and timing of crowd-based water level class observations     

Simon Etter  Barbara Strobl  Ilja van Meerveld  Jan Seibert 《水文研究》2020,34(22):4365-4378

Crowd-based hydrological observations can supplement existing monitoring networks and allow data collection in regions where otherwise no data would be available. In the citizen science project CrowdWater, repeated water level observations using a virtual staff gauge approach result in time series of water level classes (WL-classes). To investigate the quality of these observations, we compared the WL-class data with “real” (i.e., measured) water levels from the same stream at a nearby gauging station. We did this for nine locations where citizen scientists reported multiple observations using a smartphone app and at 12 locations where signposts were set up to ask citizens to record observations on a paper form that could be left in a letterbox. The results indicate that the quality of the data collected with the app was better than for the forms. A possible explanation is that for each app location, a single person submitted the vast majority of the observations, whereas at the locations of the forms almost every observation was made by a different person. On average, there were more contributions between May and September than during the other months. Observations were submitted for a range of flow conditions, with a higher fraction of high flow observations for the locations were data were collected with the app. Overall, the results are encouraging for citizen science approaches in hydrology and demonstrate that the smartphone application and the virtual staff gauge are a promising approach for crowd-based water level class observations.  相似文献   

CORS系统的差分定位终端设计与实现     

刘邢巍  史俊波  蒲德祥  许超钤 《测绘通报》2020,(12):114-117

当前广泛使用的实时GNSS定位应用可分为两种：一种是低成本定位应用，其采用廉价的芯片和天线，广泛应用于手机、共享单车和公交车定位等方面；另一种是高精度GNSS定位应用，采用网络RTK技术并结合测量型天线和接收机，为高精度测量用户提供实时厘米级测量服务。随着物联网、5G等技术的发展，实时分米到亚米级的定位需求逐渐增多。原有的低成本GNSS定位技术无法达到这一精度要求，高精度定位的设备成本高昂，无法用于大众导航领域。因此，本文实现了一种基于CORS系统的低成本差分定位终端。该终端包括两个部分：外接设备和手机。试验表明，在接入CORS系统后，该设备水平方向的定位精度可以达到亚米级，对推进CORS系统的大范围应用具有一定的意义。  相似文献   

A simplified hindcast method for the estimation of extreme storm surge events in semi-enclosed basins     

《Applied Ocean Research》2019

Human presence, coastal erosion, and tourism activities are increasing the attention to coastal flooding risk. To perform risk assessments, long time series of observed or hindcast wave parameters and tide levels are then necessary. In some cases, only a few years of observation are available, so that observed extreme data are not always representative and reliable. A hindcast system aimed to reconstruct long time series of total tide levels may be of great help to perform robust extreme events analysis and then to protect human life, activities as well as to counteract coastal erosion by means of risk assessments. This work aims to propose a simplified method to hindcast storm surge levels time series in semi-enclosed basins with low computational costs. The method is an extension of a previous work of some of the authors and consists of a mixed approach in which the estimation of storm surge obtained by using the theory of linear dynamic system is corrected by using a statistical method. Both steps are characterized by low computational costs. Nevertheless, the results may be considered reliable enough also in view of the simplicity of the approach. The proposed method has been applied to the Manfredonia case study, a small village located in the Southern Adriatic Italian coast and often prone to coastal flooding events. The comparison of extreme events estimated on the basis of hindcast levels time series is satisfactorily similar to those estimated on the basis of observed tide series.  相似文献   

海表面温度时空变异特征及对验证误差影响     

蒋锦刚  徐曜  聂晨晖  潘骁骏  周斌 《遥感学报》2019,23(2):336-348

海洋要素的变化存在明显的区域性和季节性的变化特性,本文选择海洋要素中最为突出的海表面温度(SST)要素作为主要分析参数,设计时空变异参数的计算指标,分析时空变异对验证误差影响的关系,通过研究及试验的数据精度验证,证明了时空变异是造成误差的直接原因之一。强烈的时空属性变异,在验证过程中会引入很大的验证误差,处于不同变异等级区划的数据,其验证结果相对误差可达13.08%,变异越剧烈的区域,精度验证效果越差,验证误差就越大,这些误差并非完全是遥感产品的误差,验证结果不具有代表性,不能真实的反映遥感产品的误差特征。对于SST等海洋遥感产品验证时,需要考虑时空变异对验证误差的影响和贡献,合理选择验证试验区域、代表性的评价数据集和科学的评价方法。  相似文献   

同步改正法平均海面传递应用于海南岛礁测绘的探讨     

张亮  车志伟  张景凯 《海洋技术学报》2019,38(5)

同步改正法因其特点和优势被广泛应用于平均海面传递,文中从平均海面的理论定义和实际计算两方面出发,对同步改正平均海面传递法原理进行了论述。利用海南岛周边的长期验潮站数据,按单站传递和多站组网传递分别分析了同步改正平均海面传递的规律。结果表明,单站传递同步观测10 d能满足岛礁测绘对垂直基准面精度的要求,采用多站组网传递能较明显地减少同步时长较短时的极限误差。当采用多站组网平均海面传递同步观测5 d,其极限误差可达10 cm以内,建议在同步观测时间有限时采用该方法。结合海南岛验潮站和岛礁分布情况,同步改正平均海面传递法应用于海南岛礁测绘是可行的。  相似文献   

平原地区高潜水位采煤塌陷综合治理研究——以兖州煤田为例     

姬宗皓  高彦生  甄洪帅  赵永海  宋炳忠 《山东国土资源》2019,35(12)

煤炭资源的开采引发了采煤塌陷、农田损毁、生态破坏、农民失地等后果,给矿区带来了一系列经济、社会、环境问题。该文以兖州煤田为例,对平原地区高潜水位条件下煤炭开采引起的地表塌陷现状进行调查,充分掌握了塌陷区土地利用现状、塌陷区稳沉状况及破坏现状。分析了兖州煤田采煤塌陷区的土地损毁特点,研究了塌陷区综合治理的手段和方法,针对性地提出了高潜水位地区采煤塌陷综合治理的途径,为采煤塌陷区的规划治理提供了参考。  相似文献   

Acceleration of vegetation dynamics in hydrologically connected wetlands caused by dam operation     

Lilin Zheng  Jinying Xu  Dandan Wang  Guoyu Xu  Zhiqiang Tan  Ligang Xu  Xiaolong Wang 《水文研究》2021,35(2):e14026

The dynamic responses of wetlands to upstream water conservancy projects are becoming increasingly crucial for watershed management. Poyang Lake is a dynamic wetland system of critical ecological importance and connected with the Yangtze river. However, in the context of disturbed water regime in Poyang Lake resulting from human activities and climate change, the responses of vegetation dynamics to the Three Gorges Dam (TGD) have not been investigated. We addressed this knowledge gap by using daily water level data and Landsat images from 1987 to 2018. Landsat images were acquired between October and December to ensure similar phenological conditions. Object-oriented Artificial Neural Network Regression for wetland classification was developed based on abundant training and validation samples. Interactions between vegetation coverage and water regimes pre and post the operation of the TGD were compared using classification and regression trees and the random forest model. Since the implementation of the TGD in 2003, Poyang Lake has become drier, especially during the dry season. A more rapid plant growth rate was observed post TGD (44.74 km² year⁻¹) compared to that of the entire study period (12.9 km² year⁻¹). Average water level for the antecedent 20 days most significantly affected vegetation before 2003, whereas average water level for the antecedent 5 or 10 days was more important after 2003. The impoundment of the TGD after the flood season accelerated the drawdown processes of Poyang Lake, and the rapidly exposed wetlands accelerated vegetation expansion during the dry seasons, resulting in shrinkage and degradation of the lake area. This study deepens our knowledge of the influences of newly developed dams on lakes and rivers.  相似文献